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主题:【美国大选手记五十九】史上最瞩目的副总统辩论 -- 尼伯龙根·蜗藤

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家园 民调是怎么产生的

写得好。我贴个有关民调的老美贴子

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/09/another-reason-the-polls-are-off-just-listen-to-how-some-polls-are-conducted/

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NOTE: We received the below from a mother in Colorado who was recently

polled. She describes how the poll was conducted, what questions were asked,

and how her poll was differentiated (how the pollster recorded her vote).

We’ve never heard from anyone who’s been polled directly before, but if

this is how the polls are actually conducted and recorded, we now understand

why SoetorObama did 15% worse in some states during the primaries than what

he was polled as.

Dear HillBuzz,

OK, well I got polled and now I am pissed.

We just moved back to CO and I registered as an Independent. I think that is

the reason I got the call.

Here is how it went - they called when my 10 month old was upset so I told

them not right now. She said she just wanted a few questions and didn’t

mind my son being upset. I said fine.

She NEVER asked me WHO I supported. She asked this question first -

1. Do you support lower taxes to help the economy recover. - of course, I

said yes.

2. Did I support our initial ‘invasion’ of Iraq. She emphasized that this

wasn’t about the surge or supporting the troops now, just did I believe we

should have been there in the first place. I said No, I didn’t really think

now was the time to have gone in.

At that point I asked her why she didn’t just ask me who I supported. She

said that the polling company didn’t want partisanship they believed that a

person’s opinion on the issues reveals who they will vote for.

So I asked her who my answers revealed I would vote for.

She said I was put in the supporting Obama category…………..

What the hell. I told her NO, I am supporting McCain. She then said that

because I wanted lower taxes I fit with Obama’s economic plan…LMAO and

because I didn’t really thing we should have gone into Irag that I

supported Obama’s foreign policy plan……..LMAO again (I am short on A$$

right now :)

I told her the premise of the questions were false and misleading due to the

fact that I did not believe Obama would lower taxes. She also didn’t ask

my income bracket to verify where in his plan I fall to determine my answer.

Even if you use Obama’s so called plan, if I was rich, then I would lean

McCain by wanting lower taxes. I told her that Obama’s plan does not

include taxes lower than McCain’s in any category.

I literally laughed at the foreign policy question. I said, first your

premise is based on hindsight which is 20/20. Two respectable democrats

viewed the same flawed intelligence to make their decision. Hillary and

others voted to support and start the Iraq War. I think the issue isn’t

Bush, the Repubs or Democrats it is the faulty intelligence that came in and

the climate of fear in America at the time. However, just because I believe

that Iraq was not a good idea does not lend support to Obama because you

can’t change history. He wasn’t given an opportunity to vote on Iraq

because he was still in the state senate. He might have voted present or yes

to the war we really don’t know. He was not privy to the intelligence. He

stance and record since the war began and Obama’s view has appauling. I

told her to mark me down for McCain and she said she would have to discuss

it with her superviser due to my answers to the questions………..

WTF….

If this is how polling is going then of course Obama is ahead. I am still

pissed. I have zero faith in polling or the MSM these days.

Colorado Mom

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