主题：银行的好日子结束了 -- zhuhit

1. Civil turmoil is sure for Greece. As to civil war, then it depends on Greek people. If they democratically vote for civil war, then they just deserve that. Applaude for their "brave and wise" choice for their own country!!

2. 欧洲局部战争--not at all. Today is not 1930s.

Greeks bluffed and overstated the effect of their exit to the Euroland. 2 years of long recession is expected.

3. US: recession for sure. Check my previous posts.

4. China: 中国最坏影响--China's fate is in the hand of Chinese political elites. If they choose to persecute political adversaries just as they do against Bo, internal political infight could easily destroy this nation.

China is too large and Greek collapse is peanut event for China. If China can implement FDR-styled policies and convert itself into a democratic nation with MUCH BETTER income distribution among haves and havenots, China could see this event as trivial.

It is despictable that a giant nation like China still relies on export demand for its domestic economic growth. It is equally despictable that this nation's elites are more willing to squeeze their compatriots to the limit to build up trillions of foreign reserves, than to distribute the fruit of economic growth A LITTLE BIT MORE EQUALLY among fellow Chinese.

In sum, GREEK'S CANCER IS TOO MUCH WELFARE AND LABOR POWER; CHINA'S CANCER IS TOO LITTLE WELFARE AND LABOR POWER.