主题：实体经济的困局,是缺钱吗? -- cgangcm

this is speculative, and the Russian piece I don't know much.

and to be brief, out of my limited reading and memory

1.

Russia's "lesson"

since soviet falling apart, and for a while, Russian's 普京 actually supported Uncle Sam in 阿富汗, etc, trying kissing the ass of Uncle Sam, and what Uncle Sam has been doing in return? NATO has almost expanded all the way to Russian's border.

when commenting on Russian's recent invasion of Ukraine, many America commentators acknowledged that "we over fxxked 普京".

yes, Russian still got some kind of 核潛艇 advantages over Uncle Sam, and may not want to give it up, 裁军不合作, etc.

2.

now, china.

Assume one day TG decides to give up on "毛林共识"政治模型, and go "white" and go "普世" politically, what would uncle sam do?

headfake first: we all welcome china to join the world of peace and prosperity, etc;

and privately, by the way, you china guys don't need to have an unfriendly and oversized military power, impacting regional military equilibrium etc..

then, and if you china 裁军不合作 etc, we will figure out a way to squeeze you, just like what we did to Russia.

and a friend just visited Russia: terrible inflation, and everybody was asking everybody: how about your immigration visa?

Russian has been slowly bleeding and fading away?

3.

and if I remember correctly, Russian/soviet union have never had a direct war with Uncle Sam.

and of course, with Soviet help and for whatever reasons, Maochina had a bloody Korean war with Uncle Sam.

and yes, Mao shorted Uncle Sam, longed Soviet right after 1949 victory, and all in, zero hedge, long before Korean war.

May be Mao was thinking when starting Korean war: well, I already fxxked you uncle sam in 1949, orally, now I am going to do it real (:).

and yes, Maochina indirectly fought against Uncle Sam in Vietnam for how many years?

老美记仇, who does not?

particularly, as a market maker, 记仇 is your job, and you have to make the other side pay you back zillion times more, so he remembers, and market remembers.

otherwise, you are not a market maker.

4.

as said, Uncle Sam will keep playing headfake to trick Uncle Tg, and Uncle Tg will never give up hope of buying out Uncle Sam by 用孩子喂狼, while 坚持"毛林共识"政治模型 algo running all the time, 24/7, they got money, and human troops of all kinds, just do it, at whatever cost.

and Uncle Sam will take Uncle Tg's 孩子, so Uncle Tg will get weaker and weaker, then one day when market opens in the morning, all the white and yellow wolves are right there, again staring at Uncle Tg with its ass naked at center, all with red eyes:

血债要用血来还, N年不晚.

never say never.

now, does TG top have a model for that N年 moment?

or 摸石头过河 again?

more likely than not: once a farmer, a farmer forever.

TG top started as a group of super smart farmers, and they 自学 Soviet 党校 textbooks and played their trades very smartly during world war II, and took over mainland china in 1949.

now their children, red gen II are running the show.

and it seems that majority of Chinese people of all social ranks respect their TG top very well.

习大大?

why not? a society's elite is always the elite of that society.

相对论方程一阶性.

• 中共毛泽东物理世界观尽头? 美军重返亚太, 兵临城下