主题：【美国大选手记五十九】史上最瞩目的副总统辩论 -- 尼伯龙根·蜗藤

新情况随时会出现哪。

呵呵，我给您送花时，都得了好几个通宝了 =))

红脖子一般是操南方方言的乡村人士，因为常在室外劳作，脖子被晒成红褐色。他们一般是种族主义者，听乡村音乐，开"皮卡"车，车厢里放着至少一枝枪。

被认为是没文化没档次的粗汉粗妞，爱国，排外，宗教信仰强，固执无知，狭隘保守，喜用武力。

俺不清楚为什么这么多人认为奥肯定上台.

与四年前相比,红脖依然红润,自由还是照旧,不投票党仍然没有大的变化.不同的地方是老头+美女组合是一门心思专攻中右,小奥+政客组合针对中左,壁垒分明.说白了就是保守白人对黑人加左翼白人斗法.如果不出意外,俺的看法是老头美女组合会险胜.投票人数最终决定结果.

不要对电视辩论评价过高,那不过是重要的SHOW罢了.

谢谢：作者意外获得【通宝】一枚

鲜花已经成功送出。

此次送花为【有效送花赞扬，涨乐善、声望】

拭目以待。

【赌通宝】今年美国大选, 谁能当选？

请大家踊跃投票，跟帖。

2000年不选戈尔选小树丛，2008年选巴马兄弟，自作孽不可活。

写得好。我贴个有关民调的老美贴子

http://hillbuzz.wordpress.com/2008/10/09/another-reason-the-polls-are-off-just-listen-to-how-some-polls-are-conducted/

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NOTE: We received the below from a mother in Colorado who was recently

polled. She describes how the poll was conducted, what questions were asked,

and how her poll was differentiated (how the pollster recorded her vote).

We’ve never heard from anyone who’s been polled directly before, but if

this is how the polls are actually conducted and recorded, we now understand

why SoetorObama did 15% worse in some states during the primaries than what

he was polled as.

Dear HillBuzz,

OK, well I got polled and now I am pissed.

We just moved back to CO and I registered as an Independent. I think that is

the reason I got the call.

Here is how it went - they called when my 10 month old was upset so I told

them not right now. She said she just wanted a few questions and didn’t

mind my son being upset. I said fine.

She NEVER asked me WHO I supported. She asked this question first -

1. Do you support lower taxes to help the economy recover. - of course, I

said yes.

2. Did I support our initial ‘invasion’ of Iraq. She emphasized that this

wasn’t about the surge or supporting the troops now, just did I believe we

should have been there in the first place. I said No, I didn’t really think

now was the time to have gone in.

At that point I asked her why she didn’t just ask me who I supported. She

said that the polling company didn’t want partisanship they believed that a

person’s opinion on the issues reveals who they will vote for.

So I asked her who my answers revealed I would vote for.

She said I was put in the supporting Obama category…………..

What the hell. I told her NO, I am supporting McCain. She then said that

because I wanted lower taxes I fit with Obama’s economic plan…LMAO and

because I didn’t really thing we should have gone into Irag that I

supported Obama’s foreign policy plan……..LMAO again (I am short on A$$

right now :)

I told her the premise of the questions were false and misleading due to the

fact that I did not believe Obama would lower taxes. She also didn’t ask

my income bracket to verify where in his plan I fall to determine my answer.

Even if you use Obama’s so called plan, if I was rich, then I would lean

McCain by wanting lower taxes. I told her that Obama’s plan does not

include taxes lower than McCain’s in any category.

I literally laughed at the foreign policy question. I said, first your

premise is based on hindsight which is 20/20. Two respectable democrats

viewed the same flawed intelligence to make their decision. Hillary and

others voted to support and start the Iraq War. I think the issue isn’t

Bush, the Repubs or Democrats it is the faulty intelligence that came in and

the climate of fear in America at the time. However, just because I believe

that Iraq was not a good idea does not lend support to Obama because you

can’t change history. He wasn’t given an opportunity to vote on Iraq

because he was still in the state senate. He might have voted present or yes

to the war we really don’t know. He was not privy to the intelligence. He

stance and record since the war began and Obama’s view has appauling. I

told her to mark me down for McCain and she said she would have to discuss

it with her superviser due to my answers to the questions………..

WTF….

If this is how polling is going then of course Obama is ahead. I am still

pissed. I have zero faith in polling or the MSM these days.

Colorado Mom

不论左右

民调造出来为了娱乐都有可能，当然更大的可能是影响舆论。做民调的，公布民调的根本不欠民调的消费者什么真相。两个竞选总部都有自己的民调，那个大概是不敢糊弄的，但是也是不会公布的。