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主题:我也来猜一猜飞机去哪儿了 -- 方恨少

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家园 我也来猜一猜飞机去哪儿了

今天我也来猜一猜飞机在哪儿,飞机应该是在印度洋深处的海底了。

这是一起劫机事件,飞行员劫机,但不是为了谈判,而是为了蹈海。劫机的应该是机长,副机长曾经邀请美女到驾驶舱拍照,还在驾驶舱嘻笑,抽烟,说明他是个比较随便的人,随便的人很少会成为极端分子,28岁正是泡妞的好年华,又有飞行员这个泡妞的好职业,谁舍得去死?

机长已经被证实是反对党的支持者,他也许并不是为了安华,但他肯定很关心政治。他可能不止是个飞行极客,也是个政治极客,做一个飞行极客不是他的目的,而是手段,他的目的是做一个政治极客。

马来西亚现政府和反对派看来是水火不容,现政府可能在中美之间选好了边,已经开始动作,而反对派是坚决不接受的,他们要站在另一边,也许仅仅是为了反对政府就要站在另一边。政府要推进计划第一步就是把安华做掉,于是安华被判入狱5年。也许政府曾经表示合作,但被反对派拒绝了,宁可牺牲马来西亚也要把政府搞垮。这件事导致了机长的绝望,不是对马航,马来政府,而是对整个马来西亚的政治和社会的绝望。靠马来西亚人自己是改变不了马来西亚了,只有借助外部力量来促进马来西亚的变革了。

那么谁会关心马来西亚呢,怎么让世界关注马来西亚呢,而且要把马来西亚的问题暴露在世界面前,让全世界都说,马来西亚,你这样不行,必须改!

如果劫机,你被击毙,人质回家,3天之后世界就忘了。如果坠机,大家来捞,2周之后世界就忘了。怎么样能让世界持续关注马来西亚,把马来西亚政府和社会的种种黑暗都挖掘出来,放在阳光底下晒呢?现在的方式是最好的方式,也许机长这么多年已经见识了太多的黑暗,知道马来西亚政府和军方会步步隐瞒,手足无措,把篓子越捅越大,脸越丢越多。直到别人说,你们太烂了,别干了,换一批人来,我们来教你们怎么做。那谁会来管马来西亚的事,无非就是美中,美国全世界的事都要管,又是波音的飞机,中国要进军南海,又是中国的航线,机上肯定有大量的中国乘客。就算过几天媒体和读者累了,中美也会持续关注,不断的向马来西亚施压,把马来西亚放在火上烤,直到把一切都烤出来,也许飞机永远找不到了,但马来西亚的蛀虫和腐朽反而被找到了。

总之,引起世界关注,引入外部势力,改变马来西亚腐朽的现状是机长劫机的终极目的!他看过三体,是个降临派。

这种想法应该由来已久,多年的积郁和观望在安华被判入狱后总爆发,劫机,沉海。乘客就为了理想牺牲掉吧,副机长,这个轻浮的年轻人,早看他不顺眼了。在饮料里下药骗他喝下去,让他先睡会儿然后给他打上一针,空姐进来了就说他们在轮流休息。在与越南交界处开始行动也许是预谋的,也许是这时他才搞定副机长,掌握了飞机。掉头穿越马来半岛,也许他知道马来空军根本没勇气击落不明飞机,也许他曾经和空军通话,表示只是劫机,愿意把飞机开回去谈判,开放领空,不要伴飞,否则坠机,结果空军就真的没有伴飞。然后他驾机穿越马来半岛,降低高度,躲开雷达,转向飞向大洋。马来西亚对飞机最后行踪的掌握在马六甲,于是骗中国和越南在泰国湾搜,自己在半岛另一侧找,几天后才发现自己也被骗了,飞机没有在这里坠机,而且继续飞行了。

接下来的事就是飞机静静的飞向大洋深处,飞机上的人蒙在鼓里,副机长也许曾苏醒过来,但刚苏醒过来的人也挣扎不过看起来比较健壮的机长,还是被干掉了。剩下机长一个人默默的等待最后的时刻,默默的憧憬着马来西亚将一片大乱,腐朽的政客被外部势力洗涤一空,有识之士站出来重振马来西亚。。。

家园 这是好莱坞版本???

主角不是美利坚国籍都对不起这么高大上的政治主题

家园 应该当天就知道了

于是骗中国和越南在泰国湾搜,自己在半岛另一侧找,几天后才发现自己也被骗了。

远程系统数据是共享的,或者,打一个电话的时间就知道。

同意,这是个让世界永远记住的办法!

家园 不错的小说,喜欢!

随声附和:不管事发后各方各种的操控谋算利用博弈,gut feeling事件起始更像是“高手在民间”的个人行为。这个个人比空前绝后的911们更超现实地挑战了人们的八卦空间。LZ的“虽千万人吾往矣”的个人价值观至上的版本比政委的极品变态宗师版本提供了更广阔的想象和故事的空间。

放下对碎片确凿然而整体离奇的事件的好奇本能, 对机上每个“被生死未卜”的生命谨致深切同情和祝福。

家园 马来西亚机长如果这么干

马来西亚未来将死得很惨。

两大流氓乃至三大流氓(英国是宗主国,不过实力略差)轮流进屋过夜的日子,情何以堪......

家园 前几天没有看到你猜,现在有了点线索你来猜了。

如果明天又有更新的线索,LZ再开一猜帖。

帖留着,如果正确,送花。

家园 如果是反对派的支持者搞劫机,为啥马来西亚政府会帮着遮掩

这个推测中的问题在于,如果是反对派的支持者搞的劫机,为啥马来西亚的政府会帮着遮掩。

反对派劫持了飞往中国的客机,害死了那么多中国人,马来西亚政府不是正好把这件事早早公布于众,把反对派扣上恐怖组织的帽子,以后不是就可以在马来西亚政坛一家独大了么。但是马来西亚政府的表现为什么正好相反?

家园 前几天要上班

而且我写的大部分内容基本都被大家猜出来了,又一步步被证实了,我猜的其实就是机长劫机的动机--不是为了搞飞机搞恐袭,也不是为了跟政府谈判,也不是简单的自杀。

家园 这有很多种可能

首先,他可能根本就没跟政府谈判,所以虽然他是反对派的支持者,但政府没证据证明他是为了支持反对派而劫机的。

或者,他可能在折返途中表明劫机的意图,结果马来政府和军方脑子坏掉了,军机也没起飞,雷达也跟丢了。明知有人劫机还把飞机丢了,太丢人了,传出去可能政府直接就下台了,所以还不如不说。

在或者,像我猜的那样,他根本就不是为了支持反对派,而是为了反对反对派。他是想借这次的事件把整个马来西亚的政治腐败掀开,把政府和反对派都搞死。所以马来政府把真相都说出来属于杀敌一万,自损八千,还不如不说或者胡说。

家园 目前听到最靠谱的猜测

没有之一

家园 我喜欢这句——他看过三体,是个降临派。
家园 转帖一个谣言,剧情很像Fringe

据说还是从什么欧洲网站还是俄国网站上弄来的

Russia “Puzzled” Over Malaysia Airlines “Capture” By US Navy

  美国海军“俘获”马来西亚航班,俄罗斯“很困惑”

  Posted by EU Times on Mar 14th, 2014

  载于欧盟时报,2014.3.14

  A new report circulating in the Kremlin today prepared by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff of the Armed Forces (GRU) states that Aerospace Defence Forces (VKO) experts remain “puzzled” as to why the United States Navy “captured and then diverted” a Malaysia Airlines civilian aircraft from its intended flight-path to their vast and highly-secretive Indian Ocean base located on the Diego Garcia atoll.

  今日在克里姆林宫流传一份新报告,该报告由武装力量总参谋部(GRU)的情报部门完成。报告说,防空军(VKO)专家仍然“困惑”于为什么美国海军“俘获并转移”一架马来西亚民航航班,从其原定路线到美海军位于印度洋上迭戈加西亚岛的巨大保密基地。

  According to this report, Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 (also marketed as China Southern Airlines flight 748 through a codeshare) was a scheduled passenger flight from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, to Beijing, China, when on 8 March this Boeing 777-200ER aircraft “disappeared” in flight with 227 passengers on board from 15 countries, most of whom were Chinese, and 12 crew members.

  按这份报告,马来西亚航班370(与中国南航748代码共享)为马来西亚吉隆坡至中国北京的常规客机,在3月8日该波音777-200ER飞机在飞行中“消失”,机上有来自15个国家的227名乘客(多数来自中国),以及12名机组人员。

  Interesting to note, this report says, was that Flight 370 was already under GRU “surveillance” after it received a “highly suspicious” cargo load that had been traced to the Indian Ocean nation Republic of Seychelles, and where it had previously been aboard the US-flagged container ship MV Maersk Alabama.

  值得一提的是,该报告说,航班370早已处于GRU“监控”之下。此前它上面装了“高度可疑的货物”,该货物来自印度洋国家塞舌尔,挂美国旗的集装箱船MV Maersk Alabama号曾停泊于此。

  What first aroused GRU suspicions regarding the MV Maersk Alabama, this report continues, was that within 24-hours of off-loading this “highly suspicious” cargo load bound for Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, the two highly-trained US Navy Seals assigned to protect it, Mark Daniel Kennedy, 43, and Jeffrey Keith Reynolds, 44, were found dead under “suspicious circumstances.”

  报告说,MV Maersk Alabama号引起GRU怀疑,是因为(后来上马航370的)“高度可疑”货物从船上卸载后24小时内,受命保护该货物得两名高度训练过的美国海军海豹队员(43岁的Mark Daniel Kennedy和44岁的Jeffrey Keith Reynolds)死于“可疑的环境”。

  Both Kennedy and Reynolds, this report says, were employed by the Virginia Beach, Virginia-based maritime security firm The Trident Group which was founded by US Navy Special Operations Personnel (SEAL’s) and Senior US Naval Surface Warfare Officers and has long been known by the GRU to protect vital transfers of both atomic and biological materials throughout the world.

  报告说,这两个人受雇于位于佛吉尼亚的海上安全企业三叉戟集团Virginia分部,该集团由美国海军特种部队(海豹)人事部门和高级军官建立,GRU早已知道他们负责保护世界范围内的关键核、生化材料传递。

  Upon GRU “assests” confirming that this “highly suspicious” cargo was aboard Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 on 8 March, this report notes, Moscow notified China’s Ministry of State Security (MSS) of their concerns and received “assurances” that “all measures” would be taken as to ascertain what was being kept so hidden when this aircraft entered into their airspace.

  GRU“断言”,此“高度可疑”货物在3月8日上了马航370,报告说,莫斯科就此提醒了中国国家安全部并收到“保证”说会采取“一切措施”以弄清楚这里面藏了什么,只要航班一进入中国领空。

  However, this report says, and as yet for still unknown reasons, the MSS was preparing to divert Flight 370 from its scheduled destination of Beijing to Haikou Meilan International Airport (HAK) located in Hainan Province (aka Hainan Island).

  然而,报告说,因未知原因,中国国安部准备转移370航班,从计划的北京路线到位于海南的海口美兰国际机场。

  Prior to entering the People Liberation Army (PLA) protected zones of the South China Sea known as the Spratly Islands, this report continues, Flight 370 “significantly deviated” from its flight course and was tracked by VKO satellites and radar flying into the Indian Ocean region and completing its nearly 3,447 kilometer (2,142 miles) flight to Diego Garcia.

  报告继续说,在进入解放军保护的南中国海区域(南沙群岛)之前,370航班“大幅偏离”其航线并(由航空军VKO卫星及雷达跟踪)飞入了印度洋区域,最终完成其3447公里飞行到达迭戈加西亚。

  Critical to note about Flight 370’s flight deviation, GRU experts in this report say, was that it occurred during the same time period that all of the Spratly Island mobile phone communications operated by China Mobile were being jammed.

  GRU专家说,关于370航班偏航,特别值得说明的是事件发生时整个南沙群岛的中国移动手机通讯信号都被屏蔽了。

  China Mobile, it should be noted, extended phone coverage in the Spratly Islands in 2011 so that PLA soldiers stationed on the islands, fishermen, and merchant vessels within the area would be able to use mobile services, and can also provide assistance during storms and sea rescues.

  中国移动在2011年扩充了南沙劝导的手机覆盖范围,以方便守岛的解放军战士,渔民,商船使用手机服务,也可在风暴和海事救援方面提供支持。

  As to how the US Navy was able to divert Flight 370 to its Diego Garcia base, this report says, appears to have been accomplished remotely as this Boeing 777-200ER aircraft is equipped with a fly-by-wire (FBW) system that replaces the conventional manual flight controls of an aircraft with an electronic interface allowing it to be controlled like any drone-type aircraft.

  关于美国海军何以能让370航班转飞到其迭戈加西亚基地,报告说,似乎是通过远程操纵该飞机的电传操控系统(FBW)以替代传统手工飞行控制,使用类似无人机的操控界面。

  However, this report notes, though this aircraft can be controlled remotely, the same cannot be said of its communication systems which can only be shut down manually; and in the case of Flight 370, its data reporting system was shut down at 1:07 a.m., followed by its transponder (which transmits location and altitude) which was shut down at 1:21 a.m.

  然而,报告说,虽然飞机可以远程控制,其通讯系统可能只能手工关闭;具体到370的情况,其数据报告系统于1:07被关闭,其位置报告系统于1:21被关闭。

  What remains “perplexing” about this incident, GRU analysts in this report say, are why the American mainstream media outlets have yet to demand from the Obama regime the radar plots and satellite images of the Indian Ocean and South China Sea regions as the US military covers this entire area from Diego Garcia like no other seas in the world due to its vital shipping and air lanes.

  GRU分析员说,这次事件中仍然“令人困惑”的是为何美国主流媒体还没有要求奥巴马政府提供印度洋和中国南海地区的雷达图及卫星图。美国军队从迭戈加西亚起覆盖这片广大区域远超世界其它海域,由于位于航空、航海要冲位置。

家园 谣言之二

Most troubling to the GRU about Flight 370’s “diversion” to Diego Garcia, this report says, was that it was “nearly immediately” followed by some of the top disease scientists and experts from the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDCP) embarking to Diego Garcia on at least four flights.

  关于370航班偏航到迭戈加西亚,GRU报告说,最麻烦的是“几乎”立刻跟着来了至少四架飞机,机上是美国疾病控制与防治中心和中国疾病控制预防中心的顶级专家。

  As to why both American and Chinese disease experts were taken to Diego Garcia where Flight 370 is now known to be, this report says, has as yet not been answered by either of these governments after repeated Foreign Ministry requests for “explanations and clarification.”

  至于为什么美国和中国疾病专家到迭戈加西亚(370航班所在),报告说,(俄)外交部要求“解释澄清”之后,相关政府至今还没有回答。

  What is to be known, this report says, is that as Malaysia has been forced to admit Flight 370 was, indeed, “diverted” from its flight path as the GRU had previously reported, and as at least 25 nations are now involved in searching for it, it remains a mystery as to what is actually occurring.

  现在知道的,是马来西亚被迫承认,370航班如GRU前面说的偏离了原定航线。至少25个国家卷入了搜索,至今实际发生的还是个谜。

  Also known, this report concludes, is that Diego Garcia as a designated ETOPS emergency landing site for flight planning purposes of commercial airliners transversing the Indian Ocean, and as one of 33 emergency landing sites worldwide for the NASA Space Shuttle, it is “inconceivable” that any type of aircraft, let alone Flight 370, can fly anywhere in the Southern Hemisphere without being tracked, monitored and recorded in totality.

  报告总结,还知道的是迭戈加西亚是为商业航班横跨大西洋时指定的ETOPS紧急着陆点,也是NASA航天飞机在世界上的33个紧急着陆点之一,“不可想象”任何航空器(别说370航班)可能在南半球飞行而没有完整的跟踪、监视、记录。

【独家·海上事故】阿拉巴马号货轮两名保安人员死亡原因:心脏病发作与呼吸衰竭

  来源:国际海员服务中心网2014-02-27 评论()

  塞舌尔群岛警方称上周被发现在因电影《菲利普船长》而闻名于世的“阿拉巴马号”货轮上死亡的两名前海盗突击队队员可能因心脏病发作造成呼吸衰竭。

  美联社报道,官员怀疑起因可能是他们使用药物,因为他们在舱室里发现注射器和海洛因成分。

  这两名人员是安保人员。

  43岁的Mark Daniel Kennedy和44岁的Jeffrey Keith Reynolds是在2月18日船只靠泊在印度洋岛国塞舌尔群岛首都维多利亚港时,被发现死亡的。

  两名人员都是美国Trident集团的雇员,该集团是前美国海豹突击队于2000年成立的、招募前特种部队人员。

  塞舌尔群岛警方称他们已将样品送到附近的毛里求斯进行分析,判定这两名人员是否服用了可能引起心脏病发作或呼吸衰竭的“物品”。

  上周马士基航运发言人Kevin Speers称该公司看过发现药物和相关物品的警方报告了。

  该公司称警方在船上的死亡调查结束后,阿拉巴马号货轮已经离开维多利亚港。

  ---本文属ISSC独家编译 转载须署名来源国际海员服务中心网!

  Heart attack and respiratory failure in Maersk Alabama deaths

  Two ex-Navy Seals found dead last week aboard the ship made famous in the film Captain Phillips died of respiratory failure after suspected heart attacks, Seychelles police have said.

  Officials suggested drug use could have been a factor, as a syringe and traces of heroin were found in the cabin, the Associated Press news agency reported.

  The men were security contractors.

  Mark Daniel Kennedy, 43, and Jeffrey Keith Reynolds, 44, were found dead on 18 February as the ship was berthed in Port Victoria, the capital of the Indian Ocean island nation of Seychelles.

  Both men were employed by the US-based Trident Group, which was founded in 2000 by former US Navy Seal commandos and recruits former special forces operatives.

  Seychelles police said samples were being sent to nearby Mauritius for analysis to establish if the men had consumed "a substance" that could have caused a heart attack or respiratory failure.

  Last week, Maersk Line spokesman Kevin Speers said the firm had seen a police report mentioning the drugs and paraphernalia found.

  The Maersk Alabama has left Port Victoria, the company said, after an on-board investigation into the deaths was completed.

  来源:http://maritime-connector.com/news/security-and-piracy/heart-attack-and-respiratory-failure-in-maersk-alabama-deaths/

原文链接——

  http://www.eutimes.net/2014/03/russia-puzzled-over-malaysia-airlines-capture-by-us-navy/

  http://www.eutimes.net/2014/03/malaysia-airlines-mystery-deepens-after-top-disease-experts-rushed-to-indian-ocean/

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