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主题:中国的刺激方案是不是大的过分了? -- 非洲母鸡

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家园 提供点新证据

说明这个事情不是我一个人看出来了

今天的Time的文章,(我的文章几天前发的,不可能是我抄他们, 他们也不至于来抄我)

连接如下外链出处

回答你說的这4万亿(Time說是5万亿)都花到哪里去了的问题:

So, really, when it comes down to it, the 5 trillion bought:

1. some psychological relief

2. some more sales of real estate, thus delaying the bankruptcies of many developers

3. an upbeat stock market, for a while

4. prevented the bankruptcy of numerous state firms, especially in the airline, coal, electricity, and steel sector

这下面表达的忧虑跟我說的是一回事

The problem is, as the excellent Victor Shih of Northwestern University points out on his blog (and as he says, he is repeating points made by a number of others including Michael Pettis), all that cheap money has to stop sometime and, as I also noted in an earlier piece, unless exports have recovered by then, there could be a spectacularly messy comedown. Ironically of course, it was easy money that got the U.S. (and thence the rest of the world) into the current pickle in the first place.

另外, 我们还是心平气和好好讨论问题的好,都不是什么决策人物,不过是各抒己见而已, 没必要咄咄逼人的质问我吧


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