主题：特朗普在签署对华关税行政备忘录之前的演讲全文 -- PBS

今天贸易战的话题特别火。

感觉自从有了朋友圈之后，大家都变成了全球问题专家。

但转来转去的文章都是“贸易战开打”、“中国反击”这样媒体不嫌事大的标题。

在得出贸易战已经开始的结论之前，我们应当还原一下昨晚在白宫到底发生了什么。

从白宫首页上down下了昨晚特朗普在签署行政备忘录之前的演讲全文。

Diplomatic Room

12:45 P.M. EDT

THE PRESIDENT: Well, thank you everybody. This hasbeen long in the making. You’ve heard many, many speeches by me and talksby me, and interviews where I talk about unfair trade practices. We’velost, over a fairly short period of time, 60,000 factories in our country —closed, shuttered, gone. Six million jobs, at least, gone. And nowthey’re starting to come back. You see what’s happening with Chrysler,with Foxconn, with so many other companies wanting to come back into the UnitedStates.

But we have one particular problem. And I view them as afriend; I have tremendous respect for President Xi. We have a greatrelationship. They’re helping us a lot in North Korea. And that’sChina.

（特朗普提到在朝鲜事件上中国帮助了美国很多，之前所谓美国绕开中国和朝鲜接触的说法应该是不成立的）

But we have a trade deficit, depending on the way you calculate,of $504 billion. Now, some people would say it’s really $375billion. Many different ways of looking at it, but any way you look atit, it is the largest deficit of any country in the history of our world. It’s out of control.

We have a tremendous intellectual property theft situation goingon, which likewise is hundreds of billions of dollars. And that’s on ayearly basis. I’ve spoken to the President. I’ve spoken torepresentatives of China. We’ve been dealing with it very seriously.

（从贸易逆差说到知识产权问题，后面特别提到和中国领导人和代表都有沟通，双方都在非常认真地对待此事。注意，这是第一次提到双方在沟通。）

As you know, we’re renegotiating NAFTA. We’ll see how thatturns out. Many countries are calling to negotiate better trade dealsbecause they don’t want to have to pay the steel and aluminum tariffs. And we are negotiating with various countries — Mr. Lighthizer, Mr. Ross.

（映证了之前对钢铁和铝产品征税只是声东击西，先给一鞭子再豁免，为的是稳住其他贸易伙伴，再集中力量对付中国。川普这招666）

We are just starting a negotiation with the European Unionbecause they’ve really shut out our country to a large extent. They havebarriers that — they can trade with us but we can’t trade with them. They’re very strong barriers. They have very high tariffs. Wedon’t. It’s just not fair.

NAFTA has been a very bad deal for the United States, but we’llmake it better or we’ll have to do something else. The deal we have withSouth Korea is a very one-sided deal. It’s a deal that has to be changed.

（背景补充：特朗普刚签署了对韩国的贸易关税豁免。）

So we have a lot of things happening. But in particular,with China, we’re going to be doing a Section 301 trade action. It couldbe about $60 billion but that’s really just a fraction of what we’re talkingabout.

（600亿美元这个数字第一次出现，特朗普表示这还只是个开始。大部分媒体那些扎眼的标题都是从这里出来的。）

I’ve been speaking with the highest Chinese representatives,including the President, and I’ve asked them to reduce the trade deficitimmediately by $100 billion. It’s a lot. So that would be anywherefrom 25 percent, depending on the way you figure, to maybe something even morethan that. But we have to do that.

（第二次提到和中国的沟通，包括领导人和代表。）

The word that I want to use is “reciprocal.” When theycharge 25 percent for a car to go in, and we charge 2 percent for their car tocome into the United States, that’s not good. That’s how China rebuiltitself. The tremendous money that we’ve paid since the founding of theWorld Trade Organization — which has actually been a disaster for us. It’s been very unfair to us. The arbitrations are very unfair. Thejudging has been very unfair. And knowingly, we always have a minorityand it’s not fair.

So we’re talking to World Trade, we’re talking to NAFTA, we’retalking to China, we’re talking to the European Union. And I will say,every single one of them wants to negotiate. And I believe that, in manycases — maybe all cases — we’ll end up negotiating a deal.

（每一次的沟通，不管是和NAFTA，中国，还是欧洲，最后都会协商一个deal！划重点！协商一个deal才是最终目的！）

So we’ve spoken to China and we’re in the midst of a very largenegotiation. We’ll see where it takes us. But in the meantime, weare sending a Section 301 action. I’ll be signing it right here, rightnow. I’d like to ask Bob Lighthizer to say a few words about the 301 andwhere we are in that negotiation.

（重点来了！特朗普明确表示，正在和中国方面沟通，正在进行一个大型谈判！所以现在动用301，只是为了给谈判中加些砝码！）

And we’re doing things for this country that should have beendone for many, many years. We’ve had this abuse by many other countriesand groups of countries that were put together in order to take advantage ofthe United States, and we don’t want that to happen. We’re not going tolet that happen. It’s probably one of the reasons I was elected; maybeone of the main reasons. But we’re not going to let that happen.

We have, right now, an $800 billion trade deficit with theworld. So think of that. So let’s say we have 500 to 375, but let’ssay we have 500 with China, but we have 800 total with the world. Thatwould mean that China is more than half. So we’re going to get it takencare of. And, frankly, it’s going to make us a much stronger, much richernation.

The word is “reciprocal.” That’s the word I want everyoneto remember. We want reciprocal — mirror. Some people call it amirror tariff or a mirror tax. Just use the word reciprocal. Ifthey charge us, we charge them the same thing. That’s the way it’s got tobe. That’s not the way it is. For many, many years — for manydecades, it has not been that way.

And I will say, the people we’re negotiating with — smilingly,they really agree with us. I really believe they cannot believe they’vegotten away with this for so long.

（再次强调，美国在和各路人等谈判协商。）

I’ll talk to Prime Minister Abe of Japan and others — great guy,friend of mine — and there will be a little smile on their face. And thesmile is, “I can’t believe we’ve been able to take advantage of the UnitedStates for so long.” So those days are over.

Ambassador Lighthizer, thank you.

AMBASSADOR LIGHTHIZER: Well, thank you very much, Mr.President. First of all, for those of you who don’t know, Section 301 isa statute that gives substantial power, authority to the President to correctactions in certain circumstances where there’s unfair acts, policies, orpractices by our trading partners.

（现任贸易代表莱特希泽，一个强硬派，废话不多，直接说明301调查的含义。）

In this case, the area is technology. Technology isprobably the most important part of our economy. There’s 44 millionpeople who work in high-tech knowledge areas. No country has as muchtechnology-intensive industry as the United States. And technology isreally the backbone of the future of the American economy.

Given these problems, the President asked USTR to conduct astudy. We conducted a thorough study. We had hearings. Wereviewed tens of thousands of pages of documents. We talked to many, manybusiness people. We had testimony, as I say.

（针对中国知识产权和科技领域的301调查其实是去年8月就开始的，迄今半年过去了，是时候得出结论了。）

And we concluded that, in fact, China does have a policy offorced technology transfer; of requiring licensing at less than economic value;of state capitalism, wherein they go in and buy technology in the United Statesin non-economic ways; and then, finally, of cyber theft.

The result of this has been that the President has analyzed it —we have a 200-page study which we will put out — and he has concluded that weshould put in place tariffs on appropriate products — we can explain later howwe concluded what products they are; that we would put investment restrictionson China with respect to high technology; and that we’ll file a WTO case. Because one of the actions here does involve a WTO violation.

（美国并没有完全放弃WTO，还有一个case会在WTO体系下去投诉中国。）

This is an extremely important action, very significant and veryimportant for the future of the country, really, across industries. And Iwould really like to thank you very much, Mr. President, for giving me theopportunity to work on it.

THE PRESIDENT: Thank you very much, Bob. SecretaryRoss.

SECRETARY ROSS: Intellectual property rights are ourfuture, and it’s no accident that in June of this year, the U.S. Patent andTrademark Office will issue its 10 millionth patent — 10 million patents. There’s no country in the history of the world that remotely approaches that.

（在科技领域更重要的是专利，是知识产权，这是美国目前的镇国之宝了。）

So the steel and aluminum actions we’ve taken deal more or lesswith the present. This action on intellectual property rights deals withthe future. So we’re trying to solve both today’s problem and problemsthat otherwise will be forthcoming. That’s why these actions are soimportant and so important in unison with each other. We will end upnegotiating these things, rather than fighting over them, in my view.

THE PRESIDENT: Mike Pence, would you like to saysomething?

THE VICE PRESIDENT: Thank you, Mr. President, and to allour honored guests. Today’s action sends a clear message that thisPresident and our entire administration are determined to put American jobs andAmerican workers first.

The action the President will take today under Section 301 alsomakes it clear that the era of economic surrender is over. The UnitedStates of America is taking targeted and focused action to protect not onlyAmerican jobs, but America’s technology, which will power and drive aninnovation economy for decades to come.

It is just one more step of a promise made and a promise kept byPresident Trump.

THE PRESIDENT: So we’ll sign right now. I just wantto let everybody know, just for a second time, that we are in the midst of verymajor and very positive negotiations. Positive for the United States and,actually, very positive for other countries also.

（特朗普最后一次强调，现在和对手还在谈判中！而且是在一个非常有建设性的谈判中！）

We have some of our great business leaders — and leaders, period— right behind me. I may ask Marillyn — Lockheed — the leading woman’sbusiness executive in this country, according to many. And we buybillions and billions of dollars’ worth of that beautiful F-35. It’sstealth. You cannot see it. Is that correct?

MS. HEWSON: That’s correct, Mr. President.

THE PRESIDENT: Better be correct. Right?

MS. HEWSON: Absolutely.

THE PRESIDENT: Marillyn, please say a few words.

MS. HEWSON: Well, thank you, Mr. President. I wouldjust say that this is a very important moment for our country, in that we areaddressing what is a critical area for the aerospace and defense industry, andthat is protecting our intellectual property. As has been expressed, thatis a threat to us if we have that stolen from our companies, because that isthe lifeblood of our companies.

And so, we very much welcome this action on the part of theTrump administration and the President of the United States. Thank you.

THE PRESIDENT: Thank you, Marillyn.

This is the first of many. This is number one, but this isthe first of many.

(The memorandum is signed.)

Thank you all very much. Marillyn. Thank you verymuch.

MS. HEWSON: Thank you, Mr. President.

Q Mr. President, would you still like totestify to the Special Counsel, Robert Mueller?

THE PRESIDENT: I would like to. I would like to.

END

12:58 P.M. EDT

OK。到这里全部看完了，结论也很清楚了，离贸易战开展还有最后15天。

最后强调几个重点：

第一，美国和中国正在谈判，此次签备忘录是一个重磅砝码。因为美国商务部还会有15天的时间去确定关税涉及的商品名单，现在还没有开始征收关税。

第二，科技和知识产权领域才是美国最重视的领域，制造业回流只是一个幌子，钢铁和铝制品的关税更是虚晃一枪。就像现在有的一些客观分析里说的，是中国现在在技术领域的飞速发展让美国产生了深深的戒备之心。九十年代那一轮的知识产权谈判最终带来了中国在文化领域的开放，那这一轮的谈判又会带来什么呢？

第三，静观未来15天的形势变化，不到最后一刻不要随便说贸易战已经开打了。至少中国商务部目前的反制措施完全是针对“钢铁和铝产品关税”这件事的（商务部网站上的标题是《商务部新闻发言人就中方发布针对美国进口钢铁和铝产品232措施的中止减让产品清单发表谈话》），根本没有提到昨晚白宫发生的事情，这背后是留了余地的。

哪里有什么科技产品领域可以进行制裁？充其量一些劳务密集领域

接下来的就是多少的问题了。

谈完后各回各家，各找各妈。

中国继续中华民族的伟大复兴。

美国继续Great Again。

华为在美再遭重挫 Best Buy决定停售华为产品

美国电子产品零售商巨头百思买（Best Buy）出于安全因素的考虑，已经决定停止销售华为智能手机。

继美国两大电信商AT&T和Verizon都拒绝与华为合作后，美电子零售龙头Best Buy又作出了停止销售华为手机的决定，这对致力于进入美国市场的华为公司是又一次的重创。

3月22日，路透援引知情人士披露，美国电子产品零售商巨头百思买（Best Buy）〝出于安全因素的考虑〞，已经决定停止销售华为智能手机。

CNET也引述知情人士透露， Best Buy已经停止向华为订购新手机，并且将在未来几周之内停卖华为手机。知情人士表示，Best Buy方面有此决定，乃是有意中止与华为之间的合作关系。

其后，华为公司在回应中国大陆媒体的质询时表示，华为尊重合作伙伴的选择，不过鉴于商业保密要求，〝我们不方便披露双方合作的具体细节〞。

Best Buy则对美国媒体表示，该公司不会针对与供应商之间的合约进行评论，并表示公司变更销售产品的决策是基于多方面的理由。

事实上，今年1月份，正致力于进军美国主流市场的华为，曾一度与美国第二大移动运营商AT&T达成合作协议，但AT&T在最后一刻取消了这一合作计划。有美国媒体报导称，华为与AT&T合作协议流产的原因是，美国政府对华为产品可能带来资讯安全的问题报有严重疑虑。最终，在美国会议员的劝告下，〝出于国家安全考虑〞，AT&T取消了与华为的合作。

据公开的资讯，华为公司在美国曾经前后5次试图并购美国的3 Leaf Systems和摩托罗拉网路设备部门等多家资通电信公司，引起美国国防部及中情局的警惕，中情局查出，华为公司现任总裁任正非和董事长孙亚芳分别有在中共军方和中共国家安全部任职的经历。因此西方社会质疑该公司的手机及网络设备可能会被用来窃取用户数据，并传输回中国。

为此，美国国会早在2012年就建议美国的电信运营商，不要使用华为的网络设备，避免中共藉此监视美国民众。美国众参两院情报委员会委员也曾出面对美国联邦通讯委员会发出过警示。

在美国，大部分手机都是通过运营商来销售的，而美国四大运营商AT&T、Verizon、T-Mobile和Sprint没有一家愿意销售华为手机，因此华为手机长期以来一直无法打入美国主流市场，始终只能以电商形式在美国市场进行销售。

美国不要中国减少目前对美出口额，而是要求中国对美国产品增加购买，多达1000亿。

如果中方不同意，那么600亿开胃菜就会奉上。

这个开胃菜的细节不清楚，当时华为是目标，以此类推，中国有几个华为级别的？

多买点瘦肉精牛肉转基因大豆好莱坞烂片儿什么的。

皇上开的花钱口子太多了，这些口子最终是要绿纸背书的

不过神仙打架，凡人遭殃啊。其他国家也会间接分担一下。

多买几架美国飞机，法国就哭了。

多买几斤美国牛肉，加拿大就不爽啦。

看看去年外债增长额和外储增长额吧。

是要中国承认技术全都是偷来的吧，不知你是不是这样想？

如果依赖对美贸易来维持经济增长，那么米帝就是大陆的野爹了？