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主题:BMO的房贷按揭利率 -- 菜馆编辑部

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家园 my reply below

我感觉欧洲人这次心很齐,除了一贯的搅屎棍英国,其余26个国家全票通过财政自律的协议,效果怎么不知道,但这样的信心就已经比黄金还要珍贵。要知道这其中不仅包括欧猪国家,还包括另外2个搅屎棍波兰和捷克,着实不容易。

--then Spain backfired again... hehe. Unison is achievable when Germany still has growth and money. When recession hit Euroland further, you will see more cracks. haha. 26 nations, with all kinds of selfish intention and different languages.

且欧洲大局没有崩溃,德国健康的很,法国虽一只脚踏进了债务泥潭但尚能稳住局面。欧猪国虽然民众仍然懒惰和抗议,但政府却认真着手按照欧盟的要求进行改革,也算是一大亮点。

--April will be French election. Hollande will be elected and France will turn left. Its fiscal problem will worsen and the alliance with Germany will be retested.

Greece will have election in April. Crazy greeks could throw you another big surprise...

总体上,欧盟也算是知难而上,也算是了不起。

--too early to draw that conclusion. But they did learn the lesson from 1932. During 1932, France stabbed Germany/Austria and nobody cooperated with anybody. They then all got toasted by the Nazi Germany...hehe.

而不像美国,时刻准备赖帐、军事讹诈、QE-N。

--I HAVE TO SAY THAT THE CURRENT STABILITY is totally driven by the artificial QE created by Dragi. Please check ECB's balance sheet size now. You will be shocked.

>>sporadically for several years.

不好意思,没有完全理解您的英文。意思是几年内断断续续爆发小危机?

--yes. Portugal deficit, Spanish banking system, Italian recession and fiscal black hole... the list will go on.

I was squeezed by Dragi's QE-1 and 2. But I do not think Germans will allow him to abuse his power very long.

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